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AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: New Trends and Key Stocks on April 30, 2021; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses

AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Stocks, Market Sentiment and Segment Analysis April 30, 2021

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On April 30, 2021, the stock market sentiment remains positive and new trends are already showing. Investors appear to have started formulating scenarios for the future as they are tryig to find answers  the  key questions highlighted in AroniSmart latest analyses: what is coming next? Although the answer to the question remains elusive, there is growing consensus on where the market may be heading, following the up and down movements, around an overall upward trend,  observed since the beginning of the year.   

On April 30, 2021 the stock market performance appears to be impacted  mostly by earnings and the latest economic agenda published by the US President Joe Biden in his national address marking his 100 days in office. Still, other by factors remains:  speculative considerations on the economy,  profit taking,  bonds prices,  interest rates,  options trading,  and  related news about some key stocks, especially those related to Electic Vehicules (EV) Technology, Solar Energy, Cryptocurrency, Retail, and Banking. One may also add Transportation and Tourism, as Summer approaches and COVID-19 vaccines have reached the majority of adult Americans and improving in other countries.

As of the closing hour of April 29, 2021 the key stock market indices had registed major gains  ( Dow Jones Industrial Average  -^DJI gained 0.78%, Nasdaq (^IXIC):  2.82 %, S&P 500 (^GSPC): 1.96%). Those gains were reversed by mid-day on April 30, 2021 (Dow Jones Industrial Average  -^DJI lost 0.68%, Nasdaq (^IXIC):  -0.86%, S&P 500 (^GSPC): -0.77%). AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data, Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics  and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of the new improved  AroniSmartInvest™, and  AroniSmartIntelligence™ looked at the stock performance, market sentiment index and events driving the stock market by on April 30, 2021 ( For More on AroniSoft LLC and AroniSmart products click here). 

In the previous analyses,  AroniSmart™ team has shown major positive signs since the start of Q2 2021, looking at  the volatility dynamics  observed in by mid April 2021, starting  February 2021,  (see some dynamics here:)

AroniSmart™ team  continues to build on earlier analyses in  2021. The analyses reinforce the fact that the market sentiment remains in the negative territory,  as investors appear to continue struggling with uncertainty and volatility and both upbeat and downbeat expectations. At the same time, there is growing confidence following the clearing views about the direction of the market, as the crisis is being addressed by political and economic decision makers. 


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 A little bit of the insights on the market events and sentiments, from AroniSmart™ team's findings, based on the data as of April 30, 2021. 

AroniSmart™ team analyzed the key stories, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of  AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence™ and uncovered actionable insights..

General Market Events and Sentiments

The Market Sentiment remains positive across several sectors and sites.  The news are mosly focusing on earnings for big and small companies, including Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA), Twitter (TWTR), Nio Inc (NIO), Exxon (XOM), etc. News on EV (electric vehicles),  cryptocurrencies and crowd investments continue to weight heavy.  However, the performance of some of these stocks remains puzzling, especially those whose stock prices lost despite the fact that their earnings and sales beat expectations with a high margin. The analysis highlights multiple dynamics, for the stock profile, the segmentation of stocks, the market profile and the sentiment in general.

AroniSmartIntelligence™ Analysis of Positive and Negative Sentiment words.

The key stocks tickers, with high overall index in the AroniSmartInvest Tags word cloud and Bayesian Network analysis and , as of April 30, 2021 are shown in the Bayesian Network and Sentiment Analysis below. 

 

Sentiment Words Clouds Small 2021 04 30

From the figure above, there continues to be a mix of strong positive and strong negative words pointing to uncertainty. Major stocks  in the AroniSmart words cloud (yellow). These include Amazon (AMZN), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America (BAC), Slack Technologies (WORK), Tesla(TSLA), Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), General Motors (GM), Lyft (LYFT), Western Digital (WDC), etc.  Almost all the key sectors appear in  the latest AroniSmart word tags cloud. 

As depicted in the Words Cloud and Tags view above,  it was found that the the positivity (see words in green)  has started to shift towards improving economy, healthcare and job market, with words such as  health, talent, empower, improv, knowledge, etc. The words cloud continue to point to the improving companies earnings, healthcare, the performance of the stock market, COVID-19 vaccinations,  new innovations such as EV and 5G, Solar Energy, and the continued government support to improve economic performance. 

The negativity remains focused on  the market volatility, risk, debt and health related news,  and overal challenges related to struggling businesses while trying to overcome and go past the crisis.  

AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Segmentation and Key Stocks Driving the Market Sentiment

The stock analysis builds on earlier trend and continues to show that the market is driven by the following sectors:  TECH, EV, Retail, Banking, and Healthcare.  Airline transportation had  started to estanlish itself  with an increasing momentum in previous analyses and remains on upward trend. Oil industry has also gained a significant mement. The optimal segmentation analysis has kept the 10 segments with different performance, in terms of technicals and fundamentals (see below). 

Segmentation and Profile 2021 04 02

The  list of stocks highly impacted on April 30, 2021 has varied since the last analysis, but Apple (AAPL), Twitter (TWTR), MicroSoft (MSFT),  Johnson & Johnson (J&J), Tesla(TSLA), Nio Inc (NIO), Marathon Digital (MARA), American Airlines (AAL),  Advanced Micro Devices(AMD),  Bank of America (BAC), Facebook (FB), etc...  were driving the market, as shown in the analysis.  The Bitcoin and EV stocks also continue to play a major role. The figure below shows a sample of stocks in news in the High Growth and Short Term Growth groups, accross all the 10 identified  segments, mostly mentionned in  the news on April 18 & 19, 2021.

 

Bayes Net All Stocks 1 2021 04 30

More detailed analyses, including stock segmentation and profile analysis can be conducted using  Big Data, Machine Learning, Time Series and Sentiment Analysis capabilities of  AroniSmartInvest and AroniSmartIntelligence™.  


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