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AroniSmartIntelligence™ in Action: Stock Performance Analysis with Sentiment Analysis, Support Vector Machine and Dominance Analysis in Q4 2023 - Part 1

AroniSmart Stock Performance Analysis with Sentiment and Dominance Analysis

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Stocks across sectors, especially in Tech, Healthcare, Financial Services,  Energy,  and Consumer  have been delivering differential returns over the last years including in 2021, 2022, and Q1- early Q4 2024. Most stocks reached  their record highs in December 2021.  Then in 2022 and up to mid-Q1 2023,  stock growth has become broadly negative across most sectors, except energy. The major stock market indices  were also impacted.  Since then, many stocks across all sectors, along with the key  market indices have been on the rise, trying to reach the 2021 levels.  A sample of key stocks to watch, as identified by AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning  and NLP capabilities of AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™,  have shown resilience and sometimes outperforming most of the stocks and the stock market indices.  

 The stock market lost momentum since December 2021 while the oil industry has gained  following the  increasing market volatility, inflation, interest rates, world events,  and other dynamics.  AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning Time Series capabilities, including Support Vector Machine, Econometrics,  and Dominance Analysis of AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™,  has looked at the trends  of the stock prices of 21  selected  companies  between Q4 2021 and  Q4 2023 and came up with insights and  projections on the dynamics.   The insights are presented below (for disclaimer and terms, check AroniSoft website).

 A little bit of the usual investment research before coming back to AroniSmart™'s findings.

Most of the stocks experienced a negative growth for November 2023 vs Dec 2021. Only a very few stocks like NVDA, XOM, UBER  showed a momentum. However, compared to Dec 2022, most stocks have gained a positive momentum, especially the technology stocks such as AAPL, GOOG, TSLA, META, NVDA, AMD, SOFI,  NFLX and others such as UBER, and ABNB. Several stocks, especially in Healthcare and Banking have been on  a downward trend. The sample includes PFE, MRNA, and BAC. 

The indices have experienced improving trend  with  the following performances, as  Nov  24, 2023 vs Dec 2021 and Dec 2022:

  • NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC):  -9% and 36%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI): -3% and 7%
  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): -4% and 19%
  • Crude Oil  index (CL=F): -1% and - 6%
  • Russell 2000 (^RUT): -19% and 3%
  • Gold Dec 23 (GC=F): 10% and 10%
  • Silver Dec 23 (SI=F): 4% and 2%
  • CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No (^TNX): 196% and 15%

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - November 12 2023 - AroniSmartInvest Modules

Figure 1: Stocks and Indices Performance November 2023 vs Dec 2021 and Dec 2022

Although most of the key market indices are still below the December 2021 levels, NASDAQ, the Technology heavy market index,   and SP500  appear to be significantly regaining a positive momentum. The oil industry appears to be losing its earlier momentum. Interest rates remain on rise, but the growth has slowed down, over 2023.   Gold  (GC=F) and Sliver (SI=F) indices remain in positive territories for the two periods. 

 


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AroniSmart™ team  analyzed the performance dynamics of a sample of stocks to watch, leveraging the Support Vector Machine  and Dominance Analysis  capabilities, NLP and Sentiment Analysis  of  AroniSmartIntelligence™  and AroniSmartInvest™ and uncovered interesting insights. The analysis will include two parts. This first part of the analysis focuses on the  NLP and Sentiment Analysis of the stock market in general. In the second part, AroniSmart™  team analyzed the performance of internally  selected stocks  from  Dec 2021 to November 24,  2023. Below is the selected sample for  the Support Vector Machine  and Dominance Analysis  capabilities.

AroniSmartIntelligence Support Vector Machine  and Dominance Analysis  - November 24 2023 - Market Indices and Selected Stocks Sample Fiigure 2: Market Indices and Selected Stocks Sample

 

The insights below will focus on the first part: Sentiment and NLP Analysis of the Stock market as of November 24, 2023. The second part will follow in upcoming articles. 


Dynamics and  Trends at the end of November 2023.

The key findings highlight:  Most of the stocks highlighted in early Q4 2023 analyses continue to drive the dynamics. Most continue to experience a significant increase after a  decline in the last weeks of October 2023 (AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ Stock Market Sentiment and NLP Analysis: Market Sentiment and Highlighted Stocks in Mid November 2023).

 Trend wise, most of the gains that happened in late July - early August 2023, were impacted in mid-August 2023 and September 2023  and  but seemed to come back in the first week of Q4 2024, before stepping back and then fueling the upward trend in November 2023.  

The insights below are based on the data as of  November 24, 2023. AroniSmar™t team will continue to update detailed analyses.


AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - November 12 2023 - AroniSmartInvest Modules AroniSmartInvest Modules

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - November 12 2023 - AroniSmartIntelligence Modules AroniSmartIntelligence Modules

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - November 24 2023 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation Market Segments

Market Profile Stocks to Watch: Apple - November 24 2023 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation Market Profile Stocks to Watch: Apple

 

Market Profile: Short Term Growth Stocks - November 24 2023 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation Market Profile: Apple 2

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - November 24 2023 - Market Profile: Stocks to Watch and Sentiment Market Profile and Sentiment: Key Stocks to Watch and Tags

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - November 24 2023 - Market Profile: Stocks to Watch and Sentiment Market Profile and Sentiment: Positivitty and Heavy Word Tags


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Bayesian Modeling and NLP analysis: Stocks to Watch and High, Short, and Long Term Growth Stocks

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks -  November 12 2023 Stocks Bayesian Network View: Watch, Long Growth

 

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - November 12 2023 Sentiment and Tags: Sttocks Short and Hiigh Growth

More detailed analyses can be conducted using AroniSmartIntelligence™ Big Data, Machine Learning, Time Series and Sentiment Analysis capabilities.

For  more on AroniSmartIntelligence and AroniSmartInvest capabilities, visit AroniSoft web site by clicking here. AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence ™ are available on Apple's App Store.

 

©2023 AroniSoft LLC


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GET ARONISMARTINTELLIGENCE™  on App Store

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AroniSmartIntelligence™, the leading tool for Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning & Data Science

Statisticians, Data Scientists, Business and Financial Analysts,  Savvy Investors, Engineers, Researchers,  Students, Teachers, Economists, Political Analysts,  and most of  the practitioners use Advanced Analytics to answer questions, to support informed  decision making or to learn.

AroniSmartIntelligence™ is a leading Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning and Data Science tool, with optimized cutting edge Statistics models, Econometrics, Big Data and Text Analytics.

AronismartIntelligence™ includes modules covering Machine Learning and Big Data mining, Unstructured Text Analysis, Sentiment and Emotion Analytics, Bayesian Statistics and other advanced analytics.



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©2023 AroniSoft LLC.